Polymarket Trader

finchris

0xbf192992c92869011e1782b50f908fa059d67186

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $147.89
Realized PnL: $86.88
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $45.38
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $1.6K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $12.38

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $10.59
Potential payout: $198.02
Potential profit: $187.43
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$9.41

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.58
Potential profit: $131.58
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $13.59
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $95.11
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$11.41

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $5.66
Potential payout: $105.77
Potential profit: $100.11
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$5.34

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 51.4%
Current value: $51.55
Potential payout: $100.3
Potential profit: $48.75
Multiplier: 1.95x
User PnL: $18.25

Yes position

Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $2.16
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $60.34
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$7.84

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $15.96
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $22.5
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$4.04

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.7

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.4% 105.77 shares
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 2,000 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 1,650 shares
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 16% 62.5 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Yes 14.4% 27.78 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 33.2% 100.3 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Down 1% 128.62 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 19% 131.58 shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Yes 52% 38.46 shares
US recession by end of 2026?

Yes 23% 108.7 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 10.1% 198.02 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 4% 250 shares