Polymarket Trader

0x4174712BFcE3B4F45Fbb645a6035AE40b637ff57-1767610142227

0xbf6b9370e7b794c39ba346d35bbc6335c7b37199

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $73.76
Realized PnL: $127.93
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $8K
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.56
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$18.44

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $20.6
Potential payout: $164.83
Potential profit: $144.23
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $3.66

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.16
Potential profit: $145.16
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $15.58
Potential payout: $135.47
Potential profit: $119.89
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$9.42

Up position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.89
Potential profit: $107.89
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $6.55
Potential payout: $70.42
Potential profit: $63.87
Multiplier: 10.75x
User PnL: -$8.45

Up position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.69
Potential profit: $57.69
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Japan recession in 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $4.24
Potential payout: $31.43
Potential profit: $27.19
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$6.76

Yes position

UK Recession in 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $7.52
Potential payout: $26.85
Potential profit: $19.33
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$3.48

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $10.92
Potential payout: $16.92
Potential profit: $6.01
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.8

No position

Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.95
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$3.95

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $5.51
Potential payout: $9.76
Potential profit: $4.24
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $1.51

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $1.23
Potential payout: $6.02
Potential profit: $4.8
Multiplier: 4.92x
User PnL: -$0.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.92

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27

Golden Knights position

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.98

Down position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.79

Up position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.25

Down position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.24

Down position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.65

Golden Knights position

Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

Down position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.03

Down position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 26?

Down 26% 38.46 shares
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?

Yes 21.3% 70.42 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 22?

Yes 42% 11.9 shares
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Yes 1.9% 1,041.24 shares
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

No 61% 76.92 shares
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 22?

Up 26% 57.69 shares
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 18?

Down 93% 9.81 shares
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 18?

Down 51% 9.8 shares
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 18?

Down 48% 32.41 shares
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 18?

Down 12% 32.42 shares
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 17?

Down 51% 3.92 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 31% 145.16 shares