No position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.54K
- Potential profit
- $4.54K
- User PnL
- -$229.41
Polymarket Trader
fairtea
0xbf736bb7a16257394cac27f01298b3996c8e0436
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $386.74
- Realized PnL
- $4.79K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500.04
- Potential profit
- $500.04
- User PnL
- -$22.51
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500.01
- Potential profit
- $500.01
- User PnL
- -$32.5
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $20.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $479.25
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $9.25
Yes position
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$40.29
No position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $459.99
- Potential profit
- $459.99
- User PnL
- -$228.39
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $422.79
- Potential profit
- $422.79
- User PnL
- -$113.37
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $420.32
- Potential profit
- $420.32
- User PnL
- -$151.24
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $365.99
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $34
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $69
Yes position
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.98
- Potential profit
- $399.98
- User PnL
- -$122.49
No position
Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $392.97
- Potential profit
- $392.97
- User PnL
- -$66.99
No position
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $380.2
- Potential profit
- $380.2
- User PnL
- -$93.01
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $347.94
- Potential profit
- $347.94
- User PnL
- -$62.19
No position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $337.37
- Potential profit
- $337.37
- User PnL
- -$142.64
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $320.08
- Potential profit
- $320.08
- User PnL
- -$160.99
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300.01
- Potential profit
- $300.01
- User PnL
- -$223.09
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$79
No position
Will The Walt Disney Company (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$143
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$104
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$83
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$78
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$228
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $641.93
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $404.62
No position
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $376
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $265.49
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.38
Yes position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.49
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.5
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.2
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.02
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.49
Yes position
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.61
No position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.4
No position
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.2
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.07
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.51
Yes position
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.5
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.12
No position
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.49
No position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.84
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.22
Yes position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No 65% 200 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes 26.2% 25 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes 26.4% 5 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?Yes 9% 178.6 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?No 96.4% 500 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 90% 500 shares
- Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?Yes 30% 56.21 shares
- Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?Yes 35% 33.79 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes 14% 500 shares
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 WinnerInner Circle Esports 28% 195.5 shares
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 WinnerInner Circle Esports 25% 191 shares
- Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?Yes 10% 116 shares