No position
Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $333.84
- Potential payout
- $341
- Potential profit
- $7.16
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $16.71
Polymarket Trader
46jdudr
0xbf744212afdf415107b99e5bf186bf0d3e3d508f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $597.74
- Realized PnL
- $171.78
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $263.9
- Potential payout
- $290
- Potential profit
- $26.1
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $49.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $207.29
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.47
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$25.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No 74% 290 shares
- Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?No 93% 341 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 73% 420 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 79% 420 shares
- Will Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?Yes 21.4% 397.99 shares
- Will Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?Yes 21.4% 400 shares
- Will Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?Yes 21.4% 739.95 shares