No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $205.98
- Potential payout
- $208.27
- Potential profit
- $2.29
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $5.98
Polymarket Trader
hellovinci1
0xbf768293cf868489b58a96cc53b89422a36d02b8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $226.03
- Realized PnL
- $63.18
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $4.91
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $13.61
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $4.94
- Potential payout
- $5.75
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will the US add at least 200k jobs in July?
Ends Aug 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $3.26
- Potential payout
- $5.43
- Potential profit
- $2.17
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $1.87
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $1.93
- Potential payout
- $2.67
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.63
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $2.44
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Bolelli/Vavassori position
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Bolelli/Vavassori vs Krajicek/Mektic
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32
- Potential profit
- $1.32
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $1.22
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.16
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will "Moana" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.04
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.69
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.41
Spain position
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.87
Under position
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C or below on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Seattle Storm position
Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparks
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Algeria position
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 8?No 99.7% 100.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 9?Yes 35% 2.86 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 9?Yes 27% 18.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 8?Yes 49% 2.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 8?No 92.6% 107.97 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 7?No 1.2% 105.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 7?No 99.9% 25.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 7?No 75% 25.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 7?No 99.8% 104.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 7?No 94.7% 105.57 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 7?No 79.2% 50.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 8?Yes 38% 2.63 shares