No position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $29.55K
- Potential payout
- $38.88K
- Potential profit
- $9.33K
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $6.18K
Polymarket Trader
hell0pia
0xbf93328f8b69273453228a82c913207731822fd7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $30.4K
- Realized PnL
- $302.72K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $853.14
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $162.5
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $323.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.46K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.61K
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.26K
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.9K
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.57K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.27K
No position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.45K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.76K
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.4K
No position
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.86K
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.99K
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.53K
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.61K
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.52K
Pacers position
Kings vs. Pacers
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6K
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.03K
Packers position
Bears vs. Packers
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95K
LAR position
LAR vs. Cardinals
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84K
Pelicans position
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6K
No position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53K
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27K
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 66% 4,924.03 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?No 99.9% 242.18 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No 99.9% 3,000 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No 60.4% 37,695.28 shares
- Grok 4.4 released by June 30?Yes 13.7% 190.08 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No 72.4% 8,290.25 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No 68.5% 7,300.11 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No 70.7% 14,141.36 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?No 4% 12,828.11 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No 4.1% 10,641.27 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No 8% 14,500 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No 45% 613.36 shares