Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $7.48K
- Potential payout
- $13.12K
- Potential profit
- $5.64K
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Polymarket Trader
browne
0xbf961d0c79db0bf55050cadc0995835f09c09942
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.06K
- Realized PnL
- $18.17K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $4.94K
- Potential payout
- $12.66K
- Potential profit
- $7.72K
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$3.47K
No position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $875
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $6.13K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$245
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $5.01K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $993
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $21.58
Yes position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.76K
- Potential profit
- $5.76K
- User PnL
- -$1.99K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $3.8K
- Potential payout
- $4.07K
- Potential profit
- $264.32
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $202.33
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $3.84K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $160
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $718.01
Yes position
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.28K
- Potential profit
- $2.28K
- User PnL
- -$770.67
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $1.94K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $61
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $139
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.8%
- Current value
- $848
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $152
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $48
Yes position
Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $685
- Potential profit
- $685
- User PnL
- -$512.75
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $326.53
- Potential payout
- $342.99
- Potential profit
- $16.46
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $24.7
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $9.92
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $0.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.61K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
No position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $944.35
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $901.08
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $752.74
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $466.24
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $441.26
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $418
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $395.15
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $309.03
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.48
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286.56
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.84
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.48
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.5
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.73
Yes position
Will gas hit (High) $3.75 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.68
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.6
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 83.9% 4,000 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 97% 10 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No 88% 342.99 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 89% 292 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes 15% 114.6 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes 16% 2,000 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 47% 812.32 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No 86% 410 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 70.9% 4,807.02 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 85% 4,000 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes 34.6% 4,930.54 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 85% 5,000 shares