0xbFAa042261D9DbcefA2600A3911a9B7D288143E2-1772471769004

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $122.22
Potential payout: $22.22K
Potential profit: $22.1K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$77.78

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $102.88
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.82K
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $2.89

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $162.5
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$37.5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $74.37
Potential payout: $632.91
Potential profit: $558.54
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $24.37

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $52.53
Potential payout: $618.06
Potential profit: $565.52
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$2.46

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $93.48
Potential payout: $434.78
Potential profit: $341.3
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$6.52

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $51.92
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $332.69
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $105.17
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $239.66
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $5.17

Yes position

Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $48.33
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $285
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $39.06
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $273.44
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$10.94

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $98.44
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $214.06
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $84.29
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $201.43
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$15.71

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $48.61
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $229.17
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$1.39

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $48.81
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $189.29
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$1.19

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $48.91
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $168.48
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $48.91
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $168.48
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $48.91
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $168.48
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $102.13
Potential payout: $212.77
Potential profit: $110.64
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $48.96
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $159.38
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $48.96
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $159.38
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $49.11
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $129.46
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $49.12
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $123.29
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $105.83
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $60.83
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $5.83

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.85

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.06

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $46.03

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.86

No position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.85

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on March 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.96

Yes position

Will Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

Yes position

Will Portsmouth FC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.71

Yes position

Will Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.71

Up position

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.35

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Up position

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on March 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23

Yes position

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-02?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Yes position

Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-02?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

Yes position

Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Santos FC end in a draw?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-02?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?