Yes position
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $57.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.94K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $32.5
Polymarket Trader
LongShot-Louie
0xbfbb9bdd654cb928a1b7b36e994bd53512a4dc2b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.41K
- Realized PnL
- $21.7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $35.7
- Potential payout
- $4.2K
- Potential profit
- $4.16K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $12.27
Yes position
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $35.7
- Potential payout
- $4.2K
- Potential profit
- $4.16K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $13.27
Yes position
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $20.8
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $3.18K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $9.37
Yes position
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $27.2
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $3.17K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $15.77
Yes position
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $30.4
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $3.17K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $18.97
Yes position
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $24
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $3.18K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $12.57
Yes position
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $24
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $3.18K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $12.57
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $43.2
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $3.16K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $31.77
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $218.5
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.08K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$114.5
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.18K
- Potential profit
- $2.18K
- User PnL
- -$510.94
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $27
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.97K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $19.91
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $47.03
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$81.47
No position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $456.31
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $592.68
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $72.27
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $993.23
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $9.53
- User PnL
- $703.29
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $14.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $985.5
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $259.55
- Potential payout
- $911.01
- Potential profit
- $651.46
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $13.57
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $98.75
- Potential payout
- $789.99
- Potential profit
- $691.24
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$33.95
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $779.87
- Potential profit
- $779.87
- User PnL
- -$159.93
Yes position
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $664.96
- Potential profit
- $664.96
- User PnL
- -$57.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.85K
Yes position
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.27K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
Yes position
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.76K
Yes position
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $814.35
Yes position
Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $770.1
Yes position
Will there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
Ends Dec 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $689.52
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $429.9
No position
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $425.18
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $404.93
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $393
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- $385.76
No position
Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
Ends Dec 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $385.16
Yes position
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $376.55
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.78
No position
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318.45
No position
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.6
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $312.11
Yes position
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.51
No position
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $308
Yes position
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on South Africa before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.7% 200 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.1% 200 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.9% 200 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 5.7% 500 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No 87% 100 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No 58% 172.41 shares
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes 12.9% 514.97 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 45% 249 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?No 40% 49.41 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?No 51% 63 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No 35.7% 5 shares
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes 30.8% 499.94 shares