Polymarket Trader

Ray777

0xbfc1ad1049c0b71e96268ff0b55d696aa2c273d8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.47K
Realized PnL: $1.85K
Win rate: 45.5%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Dean Phillips win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.44K
Potential profit: $54.44K
User PnL: -$99.46

No position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $5.44K
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $2.56K
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $3.52K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69K
Potential profit: $7.69K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$896.02

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$894.12

Yes position

Will Klaas Dijkhoff become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.48K
User PnL: -$7.4

Yes position

Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.47K
User PnL: -$115.44

Yes position

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.24K
User PnL: -$18.64

Yes position

Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.21K
User PnL: -$361

Yes position

Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.07K
User PnL: -$58.11

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$144.66

Yes position

GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $942
Potential profit: $942
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Mark Cuban be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$13.5

Yes position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$171.62

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $396.42
Potential profit: $396.42
User PnL: -$26.55

No position

Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $25.64
Potential payout: $33.09
Potential profit: $7.45
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $16.3

Yes position

Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.45
Potential profit: $20.45
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44K

Yes position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $409.38

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.11

No position

Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.08

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.75

Yes position

Kraken IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.63

No position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.95

No position

Kraken IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$5.93

Yes position

Will the next Dutch government be another combination?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25.67

Yes position

Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$53

Yes position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$351.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

No 24% 8,000 shares
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?

No 29% 8.09 shares
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?

No 28% 25 shares
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?

Yes 15.8% 1,405.64 shares
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?

No 91% 700.02 shares
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?

Yes 37.3% 1,392.6 shares
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?

Yes 1.1% 942 shares
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?

Yes 8.5% 585.3 shares
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?

Yes 40.8% 1,405.64 shares
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?

Yes 7.5% 665.38 shares
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?

Yes 6.7% 141.92 shares
Will the next Dutch government be another combination?

Yes 2.3% 3,020 shares