Polymarket Trader

pontim

0xbfcd8a0e1b42f063c0adb07db0b42f6db49d1ecc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.25
Realized PnL: $14.3
Win rate: 73.7%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Jumper airdrop in Q3 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $220
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.85
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Man City win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $13.14
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$1.63

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.71
Potential profit: $10.71
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.25
Potential profit: $10.25
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $5.65
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.13
Potential profit: $5.13
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 24.7%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $3.28
Multiplier: 4.06x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.62
Potential payout: $2.62
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.89

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.68

Yes position

Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

SOL position

Will ETH or SOL reach all-time high first?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

Yes position

Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Solana above $170 on November 8?

Ends Nov 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will Base launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.97

Miocic position

Jones vs. Miocic

Ends Nov 16, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.38

Yes position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?

Yes 66% 2.62 shares
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Yes 23% 4.35 shares
Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 2% 50 shares
Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 14.8% 13.51 shares
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Yes 26% 7.69 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Yes 22% 2.04 shares
Will Base launch a token in 2025?

Yes 0.1% 26.31 shares
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Yes 15% 4.85 shares
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Yes 43% 2.58 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Yes 49% 2.04 shares
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Yes 44% 2.27 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares