Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.46K
- Potential profit
- $8.46K
- User PnL
- -$154.99
Polymarket Trader
stefchefg
0xbfce10e4c4ef1ef7d0b02a951f7fea13a3dab7a5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.59K
- Realized PnL
- $2.41K
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $500
- Potential payout
- $7.69K
- Potential profit
- $7.19K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$499.99
Yes position
Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.3K
- Potential profit
- $3.3K
- User PnL
- -$152.99
No position
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $256.5
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $81
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$270
Yes position
Will Islam Makhachev win by KO or TKO?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.94
- Potential profit
- $833.94
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will PSG beat Chelsea?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $558.88
- Potential profit
- $558.88
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.58
- Potential profit
- $131.58
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $533.79
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $443.09
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.69
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.25
SOL position
Will ETH or SOL reach all-time high first?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.64
No position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.61
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $47.22
Yes position
Will Abstract launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.08
Yes position
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46
Trump position
Who will go on Rogan first?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Inter win on 2025-11-02?
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-01?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.73
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1900 and $2100 on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 24-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$31.34
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$31.77
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$31.97
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$55.55
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$93.75
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$115.38
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$129.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026No 75% 28.4 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes 60% 2,307.69 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes 65% 2,307.69 shares
- Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 54% 4,675 shares
- Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 54% 4,674.99 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 13% 7,692.31 shares
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?Yes 4.4% 458.2 shares
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?Yes 21% 238.1 shares
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?Yes 21% 238.1 shares
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?Yes 57% 263.16 shares
- Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes 10.3% 757.57 shares
- Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes 11% 90.91 shares