Polymarket Trader

Sp1t

0xc00b398d48e893ec240efae0cb1aa93fb1a77f8d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $97.08
Realized PnL: $1.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$17.4

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $23.9
Potential payout: $1.77K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$30.62

Yes position

Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $961.31
Potential profit: $961.31
User PnL: -$409.6

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $896.51
Potential profit: $896.51
User PnL: -$170

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 27?

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $542.7
Potential profit: $542.7
User PnL: -$122.67

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $33.34
Potential payout: $525
Potential profit: $491.66
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: $12.34

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $26
Potential payout: $520
Potential profit: $494
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$39.78

Yes position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $495
Potential profit: $495
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $450
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $441.01
Potential profit: $441.01
User PnL: -$13.5

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $3.72
Potential payout: $437.5
Potential profit: $433.78
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$3.28

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $370.37
Potential profit: $370.37
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $354.41
Potential profit: $354.41
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 11?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$33.33

Yes position

Will Larry Ellison be richest person on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$33.04

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $1.60 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $256.59
Potential profit: $256.59
User PnL: -$24.4

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 11?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$31.2

Yes position

Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $10.12
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $239.88
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$4.87

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $242.54
Potential profit: $242.54
User PnL: -$115.39

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $230
User PnL: -$27.6

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $224.72
Potential profit: $224.72
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400.47

T1 position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.1

KT Rolster position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.4

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 5?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.95

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.24

No position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.48

Yes position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.93

Yes position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.5

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.8

Yes position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.4

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.52

No position

Will the price of Solana be above $130 on November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.13

Central Michigan position

Buffalo vs. Central Michigan

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.43

Yes position

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-25?

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.33

Yes position

Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.4

76ers position

Celtics vs. 76ers

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.02

Yes position

Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during Saudi PM events on November 18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.36

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.82

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.39

Yes position

Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-24?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.12

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.3% 1,300 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 3.8% 20 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 13% 260 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 12.3% 260 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.9% 590 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.5% 2,700 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.9% 826 shares
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Yes 91% 100 shares
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-24?

Yes 99.9% 60.18 shares
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-24?

Yes 68% 29.41 shares
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-24?

Yes 65% 30.77 shares
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Yes 27% 370.37 shares