Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $20.2
- Potential payout
- $21.85
- Potential profit
- $1.65
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Polymarket Trader
Lumenwraith
0xc01746543163e5c2160d20fa4568535d482afd8e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.2
- Realized PnL
- $979.03
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.96
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.71
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$36.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 96.1% 21.85 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 79% 19.35 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 93% 19.35 shares
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to ScoreYes 50% 2,000 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.4% 540.54 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 540.54 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 94.1% 62.07 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 88.6% 62.08 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?Yes 36% 166.06 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?Yes 55% 166.05 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?Yes 52% 187.41 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?Yes 54.9% 187.42 shares