0xC017cBEA62f517b787FB8eEb08B5d4D7069fc979-1775818698816

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $55.43
Potential payout: $58.66
Potential profit: $3.23
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $53
Potential profit: $52.71
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$49.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $52.72
Potential payout: $52.85
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $52.57
Potential payout: $52.6
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $16.39
Potential payout: $16.4
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $14.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.79
Potential profit: $14.79
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $13.2
Potential profit: $13.19
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $11.29
Potential payout: $11.34
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $7.82
Potential payout: $7.83
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $2.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $6.5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $6.34
Potential payout: $6.5
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $6.49
Potential payout: $6.5
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$4.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $5.13
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0.87
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.5
Potential profit: $5.5
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $5.5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 71°F or below on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be 92°F or higher on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.49

Down position

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.32

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.48

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 16?