Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $12.45
- Potential payout
- $200.85
- Potential profit
- $188.4
- Multiplier
- 16.13x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Polymarket Trader
nlsb
0xc01ccdb373c2f1e0ef621abbb95b24ef08a10f0f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.45
- Realized PnL
- $93.28
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.55
- Potential profit
- $43.55
- User PnL
- -$21.01
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.63
Yes position
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.52
- Potential profit
- $9.52
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.74
- Potential profit
- $3.74
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.44
Yes position
Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-02?
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.39
Yes position
Will Olympiakós SFP vs. PSV end in a draw?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.23
No position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.96
No position
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.12
No position
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 20, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 12, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 6.1% 200.85 shares
- Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 48% 2.08 shares
- Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 48% 2.08 shares
- Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 82% 1.4 shares
- Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 49% 2.04 shares
- Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 48% 2.08 shares
- Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 42% 2.38 shares
- Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 42% 2.38 shares
- Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 49% 2.04 shares
- Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 49% 2.04 shares
- Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 49% 2.04 shares
- Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 48% 2.08 shares