Polymarket Trader

pogb

0xc03fd7f514a6d52fe0b8291846717724f6c1249d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $423.55
Realized PnL: $3.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$610

No position

Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $133.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $166.5
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$31.5

No position

Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $31.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $268.5
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$31.5

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$7

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$82

Yes position

Will Charles Park be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $11.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $188.5
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$3.3

No position

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $284 Week of May 4 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $111.32
Potential payout: $197.06
Potential profit: $85.74
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$26.62

No position

Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $186.53
Potential profit: $186.53
User PnL: -$72.75

No position

Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $7.99
Potential payout: $177.63
Potential profit: $169.64
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$75.49

Yes position

Will Team Vitality win Valorant Masters London 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.88
Potential profit: $96.88
User PnL: -$11.63

Yes position

Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $42.34
Potential payout: $91.05
Potential profit: $48.71
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$2.28

No position

Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $52.62
Potential payout: $89.95
Potential profit: $37.33
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $20.39
Potential payout: $32.63
Potential profit: $12.24
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$2.77

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $4.63
Potential profit: $1.5
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $1.31
Potential payout: $4.43
Potential profit: $3.13
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $4.36
Potential profit: $4.35
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.36

No position

Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.27
Potential profit: $4.27
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $4.22
Potential profit: $2.79
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 74.8%
Current value: $3.03
Potential payout: $4.05
Potential profit: $1.02
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.01
Potential profit: $4.01
User PnL: -$1.05

No position

Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.73
Potential profit: $3.73
User PnL: -$1.16

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $2.21
Potential payout: $3.38
Potential profit: $1.16
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $1.57

No position

Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $1.27
Potential payout: $3.3
Potential profit: $2.03
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $277.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.03

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $187.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.48

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.49

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.1%
Multiplier: 11.05x
User PnL: $127.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.69

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.65

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $97.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

Yes 51% 18.61 shares
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

Yes 60% 185.36 shares
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?

Yes 25% 42 shares
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?

Yes 25% 69.86 shares
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 41% 6.22 shares
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 41% 6.22 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

Yes 19% 102.54 shares
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo

Ronaldo 7% 99.45 shares
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

No 82% 144.26 shares
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo

Ronaldo 7% 100 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 6.4% 30 shares
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

No 10.2% 90 shares