Polymarket Trader

tam34u

0xc0402e527a464e782bca96f802c77e5db8d8beac

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $54.2K
Realized PnL: $100.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.6%
Current value: $2.4K
Potential payout: $25.15K
Potential profit: $22.75K
Multiplier: 10.47x
User PnL: $324.01

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $10.95K
Potential payout: $24.62K
Potential profit: $13.66K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $3.06K
Potential payout: $23.08K
Potential profit: $20.02K
Multiplier: 7.55x
User PnL: -$425.12

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $18.77K
Potential payout: $22.75K
Potential profit: $3.98K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $994.22

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.68K
Potential profit: $21.68K
User PnL: -$3.21K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.12K
Potential profit: $14.12K
User PnL: -$506.94

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $10.8K
Potential payout: $12.34K
Potential profit: $1.54K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $6.45K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $12.04K
Potential profit: $10.9K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.18K

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $997.5
Potential payout: $10.5K
Potential profit: $9.5K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.28K

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.49K
Potential profit: $10.49K
User PnL: -$1.77K

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.27K
Potential profit: $8.27K
User PnL: -$124.03

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.18K
Potential profit: $8.18K
User PnL: -$850.19

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.01K
Potential profit: $8.01K
User PnL: -$985.8

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $141.5
Potential payout: $6.74K
Potential profit: $6.6K
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$419.38

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.38K
Potential profit: $6.38K
User PnL: -$247.56

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $4.67K
Potential payout: $6.36K
Potential profit: $1.69K
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $2.84K

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $1.26K
Potential payout: $6.14K
Potential profit: $4.88K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$240.77

Yes position

Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.51K
Potential profit: $5.51K
User PnL: -$295.34

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $5.5K
User PnL: -$330

Yes position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.44K
Potential profit: $5.44K
User PnL: -$865.5

No position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.37K
Potential profit: $5.37K
User PnL: -$1.16K

Yes position

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.21K
Potential profit: $5.21K
User PnL: -$386.7

Yes position

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01K
Potential profit: $5.01K
User PnL: -$352.7

Yes position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03K
Potential profit: $3.03K
User PnL: -$367.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $34.15K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.82K

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.58K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.99K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.72K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.53K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.15K

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.71K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.69K

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $2.16K

Yes position

ChatGPT Outage by April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.02K

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.83K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72K

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69K

Nongshim Red Force position

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64K

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $1.44K

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.32K

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.31K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Yes 89.3% 3,740.98 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 72% 1,819.24 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?

Yes 96% 18.86 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?

Yes 95.8% 18.86 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?

Yes 95.5% 19.99 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 19.1% 1,112.95 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Yes 87% 5,922.6 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 70% 543.73 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Yes 87.5% 2,963.13 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 68% 2,673.54 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?

Yes 94% 938.18 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Yes 70% 288.33 shares