Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $61.68
- Potential profit
- $61.35
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.66
Polymarket Trader
0xc044...0242
0xc044757552a3b561bccdc9be80d9e5f5b9e30242
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $39.77
- Realized PnL
- -$2.5
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $4.35
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $14.17
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $12.02
- Potential payout
- $14.93
- Potential profit
- $2.91
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $10.93
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $7.92
- Potential payout
- $8.16
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $5.42
- Potential payout
- $6.86
- Potential profit
- $1.44
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.44
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
No position
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $3.39
- Potential payout
- $3.92
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $0.66
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $2.47
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $2.78
- Potential profit
- $2
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $1.84
- Potential payout
- $1.87
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $1.28
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $1.18
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.29
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No 75% 6.38 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No 96% 1.28 shares
- Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?No 86% 3.92 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 8.3% 2.77 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 8.2% 7.16 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 8% 7.18 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 8.1% 20.94 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 8.8% 7.85 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 95% 1.87 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 4.7% 1.42 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 4.3% 21.76 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 3.8% 23.43 shares