Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $88.1
- Potential payout
- $7.05K
- Potential profit
- $6.96K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $2.03
Polymarket Trader
Jcmiras
0xc04a5fba650066994b874e510a35aacf92838046
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $928.97
- Realized PnL
- $134.31
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $97.1
- Potential payout
- $4.13K
- Potential profit
- $4.03K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$20.58
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $42.27
- Potential payout
- $4.03K
- Potential profit
- $3.98K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$77.71
Yes position
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $84.97
- Potential payout
- $3.27K
- Potential profit
- $3.18K
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- $7.69
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $86.9
- Potential payout
- $2.45K
- Potential profit
- $2.37K
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$13.63
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $103.72
- Potential payout
- $2.39K
- Potential profit
- $2.29K
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$21.37
Yes position
Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Ends Oct 24, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $34.44
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.19K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$65.55
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $95.15
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$11.7
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $86.09
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $944.93
- Multiplier
- 11.98x
- User PnL
- -$5.81
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $86.03
- Potential payout
- $465
- Potential profit
- $378.98
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $68.64
- Potential payout
- $416
- Potential profit
- $347.36
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$53.02
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $220
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $17.7
- Potential payout
- $141.64
- Potential profit
- $123.93
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$42.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $105
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $36.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $13.25
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$5.25
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.38
- Potential profit
- $49.38
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.13
- Potential profit
- $30.13
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.9
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- $29.9
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $15.5
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.1%
- Multiplier
- 4.54x
- User PnL
- $9.03
Yes position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- $8.46
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.05
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.35
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.46
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4.32
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $3.84
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $3.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
No position
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.9% and -0.5%?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.32
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be less than -1.0%?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 85% 59.52 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 4% 425 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 5% 5.75 shares
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes 3.1% 1,108.09 shares
- Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 18% 556 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 8% 657.77 shares
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes 3.3% 226 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 3.8% 922 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETDown 15% 5 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 11.7% 307 shares
- Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes 4.1% 372 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 7% 10.97 shares