Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $83.3
- Potential payout
- $9.8K
- Potential profit
- $9.72K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$22.67
Polymarket Trader
Izikbuk2042
0xc079bd6861c23cafcd13e564f89e3e255557dec4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.3K
- Realized PnL
- $10.44K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $55.6
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $264.03
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $191.63
- Potential payout
- $365
- Potential profit
- $173.38
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$10.17
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $295.36
- Potential payout
- $300.01
- Potential profit
- $4.65
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $70.35
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $228.75
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $21.25
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $33.25
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $27.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $172.7
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $40
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $160
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $166
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $34
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $149
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $51
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $27
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $83.05
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $26.95
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $30.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $69.5
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $646.33
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $572.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $525.76
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $396.26
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $346.84
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.93
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $313.42
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.48
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.78
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.02
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.94
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.08
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.9
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.8
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.75
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.73
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.15
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.7
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.38
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.57
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.44
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 85% 150 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 7% 250 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 24% 10 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 56% 65.17 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 12% 100 shares
- Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?No 99.8% 6.84 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 68.7% 5.99 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 72.4% 5 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 99.8% 150 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 60% 50 shares
- Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?No 73% 6.85 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 40% 100 shares