No position
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.9K
- Potential profit
- $30.9K
- User PnL
- -$401.51
Polymarket Trader
JuanM
0xc08bddea8cc7e9b31837ea448f01682a9e54d0f2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $115.75
- Realized PnL
- -$231.17
- Win rate
- 16.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $42.99
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$95.01
Yes position
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$150.05
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $72.76
- Potential payout
- $850.97
- Potential profit
- $778.22
- Multiplier
- 11.70x
- User PnL
- -$75.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.69
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Milton make landfall as a category 5?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.44
Yes position
Will Trump drop out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.6
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.3
Yes position
Will Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?
Ends Sep 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$13.5
Yes position
Will Milton make landfall as a category 4?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.5
No position
Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24.82
Yes position
Will Real Madrid beat Atletico Madrid?
Ends Sep 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.6
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$75.75
Yes position
Will there be another debate?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$98.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 18% 333.33 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 13% 461.54 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 17% 200 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 17% 200 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 17% 117.64 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 13% 600 shares
- Will Milton make landfall as a category 5?Yes 1.8% 20 shares
- Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?Yes 66.1% 55 shares
- Will there be another debate?Yes 16% 40 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes 85% 30 shares
- Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?No 0.2% 5,000 shares
- Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?No 2.9% 1,100 shares