Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $25.86
- Potential profit
- $25.03
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Polymarket Trader
IrthBirth
0xc0922d43e7d1e87a0a07130cde64cdb8981a5428
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $108.31
- Realized PnL
- $922.68
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the FL-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $3.43
- Potential payout
- $25.4
- Potential profit
- $21.97
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,400 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $24.27
- Potential profit
- $24.23
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$6.94
Yes position
Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $5.44
- Potential payout
- $23.65
- Potential profit
- $18.21
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$4.26
Yes position
Will Sharice Davids be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $22.82
- Potential profit
- $22.32
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- -$7.71
No position
Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $3.61
- Potential payout
- $22.56
- Potential profit
- $18.95
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$1.66
Yes position
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $4.57
- Potential payout
- $22.27
- Potential profit
- $17.7
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Yes position
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $3.27
- Potential payout
- $21.78
- Potential profit
- $18.51
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.72
No position
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $20.88
- Potential payout
- $21.77
- Potential profit
- $0.89
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $9.01
No position
MagicBlock FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $15.24
- Potential payout
- $21.77
- Potential profit
- $6.53
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Nancy Dahlstrom advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $21.77
- Potential profit
- $21.41
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$5.52
Yes position
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $5.12
- Potential payout
- $21.77
- Potential profit
- $16.65
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$6.52
No position
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $8.24
- Potential payout
- $21.68
- Potential profit
- $13.44
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $16.07
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Yes position
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $20.65
- Potential profit
- $19.2
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$2.89
Yes position
Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $20.36
- Potential profit
- $20.27
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.27
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $20.1
- Potential profit
- $20.01
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.96
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-10 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.81
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $17.2
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$4.08
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $13.27
- Potential payout
- $18.96
- Potential profit
- $5.69
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $7.01
No position
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.4%
- Current value
- $8.58
- Potential payout
- $18.1
- Potential profit
- $9.52
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$4.62
Yes position
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $18.06
- Potential profit
- $18.06
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.38
Yes position
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $4.46
- Potential payout
- $15.65
- Potential profit
- $11.19
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $15.19
- Potential profit
- $15.17
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$6.8
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-13 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $12.9
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Tararudee position
Chennai Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.8
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $72.79
No position
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $65.24
No position
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.72
Parry position
Chennai Open: Mia Pohankova vs Diane Parry
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.7
Yes position
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.09
Cerundolo position
Rolex Paris Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jannik Sinner
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.41
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.07
Yes position
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.9
Yes position
Will Fartcoin hit $0.7 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.54
Yes position
Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.1
No position
Will Melissa make landfall at category 1 or weaker?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.03
No position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.89
Yes position
GPT ads by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.97
Yes position
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.3
No position
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $200 end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.02
No position
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $28.95
Yes position
Will Solstice launch a token by March 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.88
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.16
Pridankina position
Jiangxi Open: Yue Yuan vs Elena Pridankina
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.99
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Western Conference?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.9
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.88
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 22% 5.09 shares
- Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 22% 5.09 shares
- Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 22% 5.09 shares
- Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?Yes 39% 6.5 shares
- Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No 58% 16.66 shares
- Will Dakarai Larriett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?No 80% 13.03 shares
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?No 59% 16.01 shares
- Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?No 58% 5.09 shares
- Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?No 58% 5.09 shares
- Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?No 58% 5.09 shares
- Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No 72.3% 1.84 shares
- Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No 72.3% 5.09 shares