Polymarket Trader

Naya5511

0xc0b7812d2cf4855a7938ebf8a00ecf85357b2d35

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $159.06
Realized PnL: $348.33
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $269.96
Potential profit: $269.96
User PnL: -$10

No position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 88.7%
Current value: $159.06
Potential payout: $179.43
Potential profit: $20.37
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $81.59

Yes position

Netanyahu out by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.37
Potential profit: $55.37
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82

Yes position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.72

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.85

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.5

No position

Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 29, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.5

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.12

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.3

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.22

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.47

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 5, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

Yes position

Will Iran strike UAE again in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?

No 45% 100 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?

No 40.9% 79.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Down 58% 8.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Up 91% 27.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Up 87% 28.74 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Up 1% 2,500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Down 87% 5.75 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Up 9% 55.37 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Up 1% 2,500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Up 77% 32.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Up 77% 32.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Up 65% 7.69 shares