No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $7.8K
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $32.2K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $607.73
Polymarket Trader
baran-ludoman
0xc0bff7089f8536447e3d963fcbaa2d07e3e12032
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $85.05K
- Realized PnL
- $152.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.7%
- Current value
- $6.86K
- Potential payout
- $36.8K
- Potential profit
- $29.94K
- Multiplier
- 5.36x
- User PnL
- -$8.33K
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $20.78K
- Potential payout
- $36.79K
- Potential profit
- $16.01K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $2.88K
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $27.05K
- Potential payout
- $30.92K
- Potential profit
- $3.86K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.66K
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $1.47K
- Potential payout
- $22.69K
- Potential profit
- $21.22K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$4.23K
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.1%
- Current value
- $5.72K
- Potential payout
- $21.97K
- Potential profit
- $16.25K
- Multiplier
- 3.84x
- User PnL
- -$2.57K
Yes position
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $168
- Potential payout
- $21K
- Potential profit
- $20.83K
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.41K
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.7K
- Potential profit
- $15.7K
- User PnL
- -$2.23K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.45K
- Potential profit
- $13.45K
- User PnL
- -$1.34K
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $303.29
- Potential payout
- $12.38K
- Potential profit
- $12.08K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$584.4
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.51K
- Potential profit
- $11.51K
- User PnL
- -$1.4K
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $8.42K
- Potential payout
- $9.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.68K
- Potential profit
- $8.68K
- User PnL
- -$1.59K
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $553.79
- Potential payout
- $8.59K
- Potential profit
- $8.03K
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$757.56
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $7.74K
- Potential profit
- $6.58K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.77K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.29K
- Potential profit
- $7.29K
- User PnL
- -$88.14
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.8%
- Current value
- $1.86K
- Potential payout
- $6.94K
- Potential profit
- $5.08K
- Multiplier
- 3.74x
- User PnL
- -$346.04
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.68K
- Potential profit
- $6.68K
- User PnL
- -$1.39K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $106.54
- Potential payout
- $6.46K
- Potential profit
- $6.35K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$520.4
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.33K
- Potential profit
- $6.33K
- User PnL
- -$603.7
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.28K
- Potential profit
- $6.28K
- User PnL
- -$2.56K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.96K
- Potential profit
- $5.96K
- User PnL
- -$345.14
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $34.3
- Potential payout
- $5.72K
- Potential profit
- $5.68K
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$330.09
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $2.75K
- Potential payout
- $5.45K
- Potential profit
- $2.7K
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $341.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.93K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.33K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.38K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.48K
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $8.47K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.38K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.16K
No position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.82K
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.58K
No position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.74K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.43K
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.28K
No position
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11K
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- $3.92K
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.77K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6K
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.96K
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72K
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57K
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.33K
Yes position
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yes 4% 98.72 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yes 4% 420 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yes 5.9% 1,165.74 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes 10% 1,280.75 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?Yes 12.7% 1,094.65 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No 82.6% 11.81 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No 82.4% 5 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No 82% 5 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?Yes 22.5% 506.62 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes 52.6% 8 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yes 35.4% 331.98 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes 56.6% 1,067.79 shares