Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.69K
- Potential profit
- $5.69K
- User PnL
- -$368.83
Polymarket Trader
0xcd123kad
0xc0d11fde87ef807a13df825e1a0e13b1cb358c37
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $150.3
- Realized PnL
- $1.89K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $149.5
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$356.5
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$420
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- User PnL
- -$308.5
Yes position
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $399.2
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $635.99
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $275.94
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $268.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.99
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $151
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $57.99
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.59
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.07
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.64
Yes position
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.75
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.43
Yes position
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: January
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
MIBR position
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs FOLHA AMARELA (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Playoffs
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Iran strike Qatar in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Military action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?Yes 0.2% 3,000 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 61% 1,099.94 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No 0.1% 10,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 21.1% 300 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 6.6% 356.03 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 55% 2.52 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes 10% 600 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 53% 600 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 3.3% 84 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 2.4% 10 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes 16.3% 74.07 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes 20.4% 1,113.91 shares