lucyintheskywithdiamonds

Implied probability: 45.9%
Current value: $50.94
Potential payout: $111.1
Potential profit: $60.16
Multiplier: 2.18x
User PnL: $40.94

No position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.3
Potential profit: $105.3
User PnL: -$10

Rakovac position

WTT - Women's Singles: Miu Hirano vs Lea Rakovac

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $93.5
Potential profit: $93.45
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.96

Yes position

Will Texas win the 2026 College World Series?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$9.99

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $83.3
Potential profit: $79.55
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$6.25

Yes position

Will West Virginia win the 2026 College World Series?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.35
Potential profit: $80.35
User PnL: -$9.56

Yes position

Will Georgia win the 2026 College World Series?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.3
Potential profit: $76.3
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Chiefs win?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.4
Potential profit: $71.4
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Legacy qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.6
Potential profit: $55.6
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.6
Potential profit: $55.6
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

Implied probability: 34.8%
Current value: $19.1
Potential payout: $54.9
Potential profit: $35.8
Multiplier: 2.87x
User PnL: $14.1

Malawi position

Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Malawi

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.8
Potential profit: $53.8
User PnL: -$10.01

Yes position

Will AJ Dybantsa be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $8.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $41.75
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$1.75

No position

Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $38.75
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Diogo Dalot be in Portugal's Starting 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5.5

Cristian position

Set Handicap: Boulter (-1.5) vs Cristian (+1.5)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.5
Potential profit: $45.5
User PnL: -$5.01

Yes position

Will "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.89
Potential profit: $43.89
User PnL: -$3.95

No position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $28.52
Potential payout: $43.21
Potential profit: $14.69
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $21.17

United Arab Emirates position

T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.7
Potential profit: $41.7
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Lucas Digne be in France's Starting 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.7
Potential profit: $41.7
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Charles Park be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $3.12
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $36.88
Multiplier: 12.82x
User PnL: -$2.64

Gigantes de Carolina position

Criollos de Caguas vs. Gigantes de Carolina

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.97
Potential profit: $39.97
User PnL: -$7.99

No position

ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan - Completed match?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.5
Potential profit: $38.5
User PnL: -$5.01

No position

Will John Stones be in England's Starting 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.5
Potential profit: $38.5
User PnL: -$10.01

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal be in Spain's Starting 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.5
Potential profit: $38.5
User PnL: -$5.01

No position

Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $38
User PnL: -$4.94

No position

Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $27.5B?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $6.11
Potential payout: $37
Potential profit: $30.9
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $1.77
Potential payout: $35.78
Potential profit: $34.01
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$7.96

No position

Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.7
Potential profit: $35.7
User PnL: -$5

No position

Bahrain vs. Syria: Draw at halftime?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.7
Potential profit: $35.7
User PnL: -$2.5

Serbia position

Spread: Serbia (-1.5)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.7
Potential profit: $35.7
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Oklahoma win the 2026 College World Series?

Implied probability: 36.3%
Current value: $12.92
Potential payout: $35.6
Potential profit: $22.68
Multiplier: 2.75x
User PnL: $2.92

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.43
Potential profit: $35.43
User PnL: -$2.48

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Implied probability: 16.3%
Current value: $5.73
Potential payout: $35.29
Potential profit: $29.56
Multiplier: 6.15x
User PnL: -$4.25

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of June 15 2026?

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $4.53
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $30.47
Multiplier: 7.72x
User PnL: -$0.72

No position

Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.2
Potential profit: $34.2
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $19.48
Potential payout: $32.47
Potential profit: $12.99
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $15.91

Yes position

Will Darryn Peterson be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $8.88
Potential payout: $32.29
Potential profit: $23.41
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$1.13

No position

Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $7.5B?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $5.77
Potential payout: $31.2
Potential profit: $25.43
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$4.21

Hanwha Eagles position

KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eagles

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.2
Potential profit: $31.2
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $8.5B?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $9.85
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $20.45
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Germany vs. Curaçao: Neither team to score first?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.22
Potential profit: $30.22
User PnL: -$2.42

Yes position

Will FUT qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$2.7

No position

Will Hurricanes win the 2026 Stanley Cup 4-2 be the exact series outcome?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.4
Potential profit: $29.4
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.71
Potential profit: $28.71
User PnL: -$4.88

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $15.02
Potential payout: $28.61
Potential profit: $13.59
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $5.01

Yes position

Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 8 million views on day 1?

Implied probability: 47.6%
Current value: $13.46
Potential payout: $28.3
Potential profit: $14.84
Multiplier: 2.10x
User PnL: $3.47

Over position

Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa 1st Half O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.8
Potential profit: $27.8
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Test Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan - Match goes to Day 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.8
Potential profit: $27.8
User PnL: -$2.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Kiwoom Heroes position

KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.5

No position

Will Natus Vincere qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.6

Henry Searle position

Tyler: Henry Searle vs Mitchell Krueger

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.5

Yes position

Will Renato Veiga be in Portugal's Starting 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.49

Over position

Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

Mongolia position

T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Bahrain vs Mongolia

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

Yes position

Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.3

Bass/Duncan position

Ilkley (Doubles): Bayldon/Schoolkate vs Bass/Duncan

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.88

Yes position

Will William Saliba be in France's Starting 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.5

Emma Ottavia Ghirardato position

ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Milica Stosovic vs Emma Ottavia Ghirardato

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.89

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 1-7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.6

Yes position

Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.3

Under position

Mensik vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 36.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.1

Yes position

Will OPEC crude oil production be above 18 million barrels per day in May?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.39

Over position

France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.21

Over position

United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.2

No position

Will Maurice Washington be the Republican nominee for SC-06?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.2

BC Zenit position

BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.05

Over position

Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.4

Yes position

Will Noni Madueke be in England's Starting 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.61

No position

Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Under position

Kyrgyz Republic vs. Palestine: O/U 0.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.83

Under position

Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

Over 2.5 position

Elena Rybakina vs. Tatjana Maria: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $70 June 1-7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.88

Yes position

Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 June 1-7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.72

No position

Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.53

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $1.10 June 1-7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $395?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.3

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.07

No position

Will Jeff Pixley be the Democratic nominee for OK-04?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.92

Yes position

Will Mark Warner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Virginia?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

Yes position

Will Exeter Chiefs win?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.69

Timo Legout position

Tyler: Timo Legout vs Andres Andrade

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Yes position

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.09

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.09

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

Gimnasia position

Quimsa vs. Gimnasia

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.69

No position

Will "Government" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.65

Under position

Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

Over position

DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?