Polymarket Trader

Lighterliquid

0xc0eb7be9e80362dd69b6167df461f9f882d36d57

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.46K
Realized PnL: $5.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $476.99
Potential payout: $599.99
Potential profit: $123
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $15

No position

Will there be 50+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $431.3
Potential payout: $434.34
Potential profit: $3.04
User PnL: $1.3

No position

Will Scotland be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $426.07
Potential payout: $429.29
Potential profit: $3.22
User PnL: $1.07

Yes position

Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $222
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $178
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $273.99
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $126
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $90

No position

Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $297.98
Potential payout: $399.97
Potential profit: $101.99
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $22

Yes position

Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $201.67
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $131.67
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Will Croatia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 92.7%
Current value: $278.1
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $21.9
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $8.1

No position

Will England be the worst-placed European nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $259.58
Potential payout: $260.1
Potential profit: $0.52
User PnL: $4.58

Yes position

Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $227.5
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$77.5

Yes position

United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $82.5
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $167.5
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $240
User PnL: -$108

No position

Will Iran reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $231.4
Potential payout: $236.36
Potential profit: $4.96
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $40.78
Potential payout: $233
Potential profit: $192.23
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $19.81

No position

Will South Africa reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $227.21
Potential payout: $232.32
Potential profit: $5.11
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$2.79

No position

Will Germany reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $163.99
Potential payout: $215.78
Potential profit: $51.79
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$3.53

No position

Will Endrick win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $186.22
Potential payout: $205.77
Potential profit: $19.55
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$3.78

No position

Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $138.98
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $61.02
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $4.98

No position

Will Germany score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $154
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $46
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will João Neves win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $14.8
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $185.2
Multiplier: 13.51x
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $196.9
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$17.1

Yes position

Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $164
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $36
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $123.21
Potential payout: $185.28
Potential profit: $62.07
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $6.48

Yes position

Will Che Adams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $42.57
Potential payout: $154.81
Potential profit: $112.24
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$7.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $623.08

No position

Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $500.99

No position

Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $435.4

Yes position

Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.77

No position

Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $387.5

No position

Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $306.78

No position

Will Dean Huijsen be included in Spain's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.56

No position

Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204

Yes position

Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.29

No position

Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.4

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

No position

Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.44

No position

Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.9

Over position

VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.6

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.31

Yes position

SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.5

No position

Will Adam Wharton be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.4

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.63

Yes position

West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.89

Yes position

FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Score

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.99

No position

Xabi Alonso out as Real Madrid Manager in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.57

Yes position

Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.12

Yes position

English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.74

No position

RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.86

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals

Yes 40% 250 shares
Will the announcers say "Assist" during the USA vs Australia FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 89.7% 133.82 shares
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 85% 117.65 shares
Will there be 50+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99% 434.34 shares
Will Che Adams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 58% 20 shares
Will Che Adams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32.6% 174.81 shares
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 60% 333.33 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-06?

Yes 90% 222.22 shares
Will England be the worst-placed European nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98% 260.1 shares
Will Rayan Cherki win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.7% 31.01 shares
Will David Raya win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97% 32.99 shares
Will Gavi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97% 20.62 shares