Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Current value
- $74.83
- Potential payout
- $410
- Potential profit
- $335.18
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- -$130.18
Polymarket Trader
CrazyCatMore
@crazy_livermore
0xc0f713514afd142b134eb2cb2a838ef80074801d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $528.12
- Realized PnL
- $184.91
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 81.8%
- Current value
- $335.18
- Potential payout
- $410
- Potential profit
- $74.82
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $130.18
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $11.07
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $48.93
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $11.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $38.25
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.37
- Potential profit
- $39.37
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $28.12
- Potential payout
- $39.05
- Potential profit
- $10.93
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 63.6%
- Current value
- $20.77
- Potential payout
- $32.66
- Potential profit
- $11.89
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$11.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $15.15
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $8.41
- Potential payout
- $14.49
- Potential profit
- $6.09
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$1.59
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.3%
- Current value
- $11.72
- Potential payout
- $14.43
- Potential profit
- $2.71
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.72
No position
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $9.59
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $3.92
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $7.8
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $5.53
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$10.01
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $8.88
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $2.88
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $107.72
Yes position
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.77
Yes position
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.43
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.58
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.48
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
No position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68
Yes position
Over $12M committed to the Space public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.71
Yes position
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.76
Yes position
Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$7.2
No position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$7.45
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 60.6% 16.5 shares
- Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 65% 15.38 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 12.7% 39.37 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Yes 48% 20.83 shares
- Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 74% 13.51 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No 85% 11.76 shares
- Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 61.9% 16.16 shares
- Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?Yes 88.7% 11.27 shares
- Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?No 69% 14.49 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 69.3% 14.43 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 2.4% 200 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes 42% 23.81 shares