Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $320.95
- Potential profit
- $320.95
- User PnL
- -$236.02
Polymarket Trader
bgdogbit
0xc111007ea9cd67145d1b5ff347d2e3787382a00c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $203.25
- Realized PnL
- $371.88
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $314.81
- Potential profit
- $314.81
- User PnL
- -$170
No position
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $72.41
- Potential payout
- $159.15
- Potential profit
- $86.74
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $7.41
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $79.23
- Potential payout
- $102.23
- Potential profit
- $23
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $21.35
No position
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $51.6
- Potential payout
- $57.98
- Potential profit
- $6.38
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $17.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.61
No position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.48
No position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.12
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.38
No position
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.8
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?No 40.8% 159.15 shares
- Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?No 59.4% 57.98 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 59.1% 20.3 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 56% 81.93 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes 66.9% 149.45 shares
- Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?No 65% 153.85 shares
- Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?No 66% 212.12 shares
- US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?No 79.3% 294.55 shares
- US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?No 53.7% 294.56 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Yes 73.5% 320.95 shares
- Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes 59.9% 236.02 shares
- Will Russia join the Board of Peace?No 93% 152.06 shares