Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $484.22
- Potential payout
- $556.57
- Potential profit
- $72.35
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $84.22
Polymarket Trader
Robt789
0xc115985a2ec1a736a5b8212a6ad41c5568ba7b4a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $603.84
- Realized PnL
- $5.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $527.29
- Potential profit
- $527.29
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.42
- Potential profit
- $172.42
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $139.08
- Potential profit
- $139.08
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $119.62
- Potential payout
- $126.58
- Potential profit
- $6.96
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $19.62
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.65
- Potential profit
- $80.65
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.46
- Potential profit
- $72.46
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399.58
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $379.2
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.85
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.83
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $268.2
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $264.87
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.99
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.5
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.21
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.71
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.66
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.48
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.75
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.09
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.84
No position
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.08
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.72
No position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.67
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.03
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.5
No position
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.33
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.75
No position
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $20.91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes 74.7% 401.71 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes 64.6% 154.87 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 82.7% 72.46 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 65% 76.92 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 79% 126.58 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 91% 54.95 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes 29% 172.42 shares
- Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?Yes 35.9% 139.08 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 69% 72.46 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No 80% 62.5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No 97.7% 102.35 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 62% 80.65 shares