Polymarket Trader

tiptopelius

0xc129ee6ee860f39f56ab6999cb47886e443b273c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.22
Realized PnL: $4.07
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.47
Potential profit: $13.47
User PnL: -$5

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.56
Potential profit: $6.56
User PnL: -$4

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $2.19
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 46.4%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $1.9
Potential profit: $1.02
Multiplier: 2.16x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $1.09
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $1.04
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Peace" or "War" 3+ times during Monday news conference?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 23 above $285?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Any of the stolen paintings recovered by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 52.6% 1.9 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

Natus Vincere 61% 6.56 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 47% 4.44 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

No 96.5% 1.04 shares
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?

No 73% 1.37 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 45% 4.44 shares
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?

Yes 92% 1.21 shares
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

No 82.1% 5.33 shares
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

No 93% 3.23 shares
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

No 15% 2.68 shares
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

No 74.4% 2.69 shares
Will France win Eurovision 2026?

No 99.4% 1.07 shares