Falke

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $490
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $414.7
Potential profit: $414.7
User PnL: -$19.24

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $31.09
Potential payout: $155.84
Potential profit: $124.75
Multiplier: 5.01x
User PnL: $7.09

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.6%
Current value: $13.86
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $106.14
Multiplier: 8.66x
User PnL: -$5.22

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.75
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$9.8

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.69
Potential profit: $67.69
User PnL: -$17.52

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $12.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $37.75
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$7.15

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $25.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $24.5
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $10.94

Yes position

Exact Score: England 0 - 2 DR Congo?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Implied probability: 19.2%
Current value: $7.66
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $32.34
Multiplier: 5.22x
User PnL: $4.74

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.06
Potential profit: $31.06
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $6.74
Potential payout: $22.46
Potential profit: $15.72
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $16.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $3.7
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $4.7

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 59.1%
Current value: $11.81
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $8.19
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Exact Score: England 0 - 1 DR Congo?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.08
Potential profit: $19.08
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Exact Score: England 1 - 1 DR Congo?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $13.51
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.46

Yes position

Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.43

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.75

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.61

Yes position

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.38

No position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.72

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

New "The Boys" episode released by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?