chamuel

Implied probability: 11.9%
Current value: $2.4K
Potential payout: $20.21K
Potential profit: $17.8K
Multiplier: 8.40x
User PnL: $1.45K

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $616.06
Potential payout: $6.66K
Potential profit: $6.04K
Multiplier: 10.81x
User PnL: -$13.93

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.7K
Potential profit: $4.7K
User PnL: -$174.99

Yes position

Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $19.08
Potential payout: $4.24K
Potential profit: $4.22K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.04K
Potential profit: $3.04K
User PnL: -$249.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.84K
Potential profit: $2.84K
User PnL: -$75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.55K
Potential profit: $2.55K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$6.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $2.13K
User PnL: -$442.28

Yes position

Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.53
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $1.68K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$7.47

Yes position

Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.66K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $1.66K
User PnL: -$150

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $1.66K
User PnL: -$209.66

Yes position

Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $5.76
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $1.64K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$4.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.37K
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.81
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$7.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$126.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $933.66
Potential profit: $933.66
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $715.05
Potential profit: $715.05
User PnL: -$132.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $635.52
Potential profit: $635.52
User PnL: -$124.1

Yes position

Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $497.75
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $1.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $794.89

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $671.18

No position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 76%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $303.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.23

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 23?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $84.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.52

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 24%
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $48.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $1.80 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.28

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.47

Yes position

Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$92.31

No position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?