Polymarket Trader

d1zup

@d1z_up

0xc13540ad3c67cfe8b3718d947fc52e57b0ee21b0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $65
Realized PnL: $11.96K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.22K
Potential profit: $27.22K
User PnL: -$1.4K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$43.98

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.8K
Potential profit: $14.8K
User PnL: -$1.21K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.2K
Potential profit: $12.2K
User PnL: -$797.98

No position

Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.3K
Potential profit: $10.3K
User PnL: -$261.99

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $65
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.93K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$65

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$25.99

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.8K
Potential profit: $5.8K
User PnL: -$342.85

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$55

No position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.9K
Potential profit: $4.9K
User PnL: -$378.08

No position

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$68

No position

Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.34K
Potential profit: $3.34K
User PnL: -$725.86

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.83K
Potential profit: $2.83K
User PnL: -$438.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
User PnL: -$47.8

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.45K
Potential profit: $2.45K
User PnL: -$180.89

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $2.3K
User PnL: -$9.22

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$414.19

No position

Superform FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.36K
User PnL: -$93.68

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
User PnL: -$443.81

Yes position

No airdrop by January 10

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.03K

No position

Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

Yes position

Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $780

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $707

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $668.8

No position

Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $667.41

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $559

No position

Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $553.11

No position

Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $538.5

No position

Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $435.13

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $344.54

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $339.8

No position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $316

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236

Yes position

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.63

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192

No position

Will Almanak FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.27

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 26?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $156.29

No position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140

Bivol position

Artur Beterbiev vs. Dmitry Bivol

Ends Feb 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.87

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 24?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $123.64

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 65% 99.99 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.3% 500 shares
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 62% 200 shares
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 67% 199.98 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Sean OMalley 79% 100 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 21% 100 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

Michael Chandler 20% 100 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?

No 7% 50 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

No 24% 100 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?

No 13% 93 shares
Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VII?

Yes 82% 122 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares