Polymarket Trader

Tony107

0xc13dce10d7efe9d3ddabfe4cd82a0d00175a4bda

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $46.55
Realized PnL: $809.14
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: $2.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $8.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $41.25
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $6.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.8
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$1.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.48
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $8.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $41.25
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $6.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.23
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $43.75
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $4.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $7.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $42.25
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $5.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $43
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $5.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $2.33
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.68
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $26.74
Potential profit: $26.59
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.88

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $109K on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $94.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.2

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2900 on July 11 at 5PM ET?

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.05

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.16

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.02

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.3

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.69

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $118K on July 13 at 5PM ET?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.21

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.02

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 26.74 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 1% 40.88 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 2% 9.12 shares
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 1% 23.26 shares