Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $10.2
- Potential payout
- $28.34
- Potential profit
- $18.14
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Polymarket Trader
utolaris
0xc1451a8f5ca3e63a9e58059bc24b0335de656349
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.75
- Realized PnL
- $0.85
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.62
- Potential profit
- $9.62
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $2.54
- Potential payout
- $7.83
- Potential profit
- $5.28
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
Yes position
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETUp 52% 9.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETUp 99% 5.1 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETUp 98% 5.1 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETUp 80% 6.49 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETUp 77% 6.49 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 66% 15.64 shares
- Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?Yes 99% 5 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Yes 7% 10 shares
- Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?Yes 60% 5 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Yes 42% 10 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 77% 12.84 shares