No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.7%
- Current value
- $432.73K
- Potential payout
- $499.4K
- Potential profit
- $66.67K
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$4.5K
Polymarket Trader
makinta
0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $443.3K
- Realized PnL
- $147.49K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.43K
- Potential profit
- $36.43K
- User PnL
- -$28.78K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$15K
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $7.45K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $2.55K
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $3.12K
- Potential payout
- $3.27K
- Potential profit
- $155.45
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $40.91
Spain position
Spread: Spain (-2.5)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $2.56K
- User PnL
- -$1.38K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.18K
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.71K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.07K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.56K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.25K
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.16K
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.13K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.89K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.94K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62K
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.49K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62K
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $926.14
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $870.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 79% 36,428.16 shares
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain 26% 7,940.7 shares
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain 54% 50,000 shares
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain 54% 50,000 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 94% 1,188.53 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 96.2% 18,547.61 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 97.5% 18,517.52 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 97.9% 103.77 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 88.7% 3,366.65 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 88.6% 501.94 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 95% 50,642.3 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 93.6% 15,815.28 shares