No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $4.57K
- Potential payout
- $6.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$504.86
Polymarket Trader
dg3n
0xc15f1a58a80b7f58962f9f49a022db731a2c650a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.57K
- Realized PnL
- $11.52K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$498.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.35K
No position
Israel military strike against Iran in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
Yes position
Luigi Mangione extradited to New York before 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
No position
Will Fury beat Usyk?
Ends Dec 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $871.65
No position
Will ChatGPT have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290.33
No position
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.88
Yes position
Coinbase top 10 app on Friday?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $251.16
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2024 Nitto ATP Finals?
Ends Nov 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.01
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $169.44
Yes position
Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?
Ends Jan 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.38
No position
Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.13
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.82
Yes position
Will Dogecoin reach $0.45 before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.6
Yes position
Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.75
No position
Will Trump say "Victory" three or more times in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.7
Yes position
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Mar 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.44
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Will Dua Lipa be named the Billboard Greatest artist of 2024?
Ends Dec 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2024?
Ends May 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Olivia Rodrigo be named the Billboard Greatest artist of 2024?
Ends Dec 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.52
Yes position
Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.56
Yes position
Will Dogecoin reach $1 before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 81% 4.94 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 80.5% 6,300.95 shares
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?Yes 45% 1,107.96 shares
- Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?No 73% 682.99 shares
- Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?No 72.8% 682.99 shares
- Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?No 23% 849.66 shares
- Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?No 25% 1,848.72 shares
- Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?No 29% 1,145.93 shares
- Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?Yes 64% 462.18 shares
- Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?Yes 27.3% 2,301.22 shares
- Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?Yes 43.3% 2,301.23 shares
- Will ChatGPT have the top AI model on December 31?No 95.9% 1,039.79 shares