Polymarket Trader

vip78

0xc16911631b00608de685d59181a61aff1eda0657

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.72
Realized PnL: $7.69
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $5.48
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $36.19
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: $4.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 51.3%
Current value: $11.24
Potential payout: $21.93
Potential profit: $10.69
Multiplier: 1.95x
User PnL: $5.34

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Up position

Solana Up or Down - July 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Down position

Solana Up or Down - July 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Down 20% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Up 60% 1.67 shares
Solana Up or Down - July 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Up 54% 1.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Up 62% 1.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Up 11% 9.09 shares
Solana Up or Down - July 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Down 66% 1.52 shares
Solana Up or Down - July 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Up 60% 1.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 13?

Yes 44.3% 27.51 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 13?

No 47.7% 27.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 13?

No 79% 18 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Up 20% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 13?

Yes 1.3% 54.9 shares