Polymarket Trader

Guadalajara

0xc16ae61cef0c8d5453bd46980f48887c40f810c1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $25.09
Realized PnL: -$1.19
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Over 55,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $21.9
Potential payout: $336.87
Potential profit: $314.97
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$8.6

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.23
Potential payout: $90.92
Potential profit: $89.69
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $16.86
Multiplier: 17.86x
User PnL: -$1

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.65
Potential profit: $17.65
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $16.03
Potential profit: $15.06
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.73
Potential profit: $1.73
User PnL: -$0.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >10% by Feb 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

Yes 11.2% 17.86 shares
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 0.5% 250 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.1% 90.91 shares
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 17.9% 6.79 shares
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 14.7% 6.8 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Up 0.9% 111.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Up 31.9% 3.06 shares
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 0.4% 250 shares
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

Yes 12% 8.33 shares
XRP Up or Down - February 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Up 57% 1.7 shares
XRP Up or Down - February 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Up 57% 1.7 shares
XRP Up or Down - February 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Down 5.7% 17.64 shares