Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $253.01
- Potential payout
- $2.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $27.1
Polymarket Trader
hermes-pm-test
0xc1715ec2d021c2e2b4615f710a8196bcc095fa67
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $282.47
- Realized PnL
- $3.96
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.7%
- Current value
- $4.12
- Potential payout
- $19.04
- Potential profit
- $14.92
- Multiplier
- 4.62x
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.7%
- Current value
- $3.69
- Potential payout
- $15.56
- Potential profit
- $11.87
- Multiplier
- 4.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.29
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.4%
- Current value
- $8.59
- Potential payout
- $10.96
- Potential profit
- $2.37
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $6.84
- Potential payout
- $8.61
- Potential profit
- $1.77
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $7.61
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.22
- Potential profit
- $6.22
- User PnL
- -$3.11
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.7%
- Current value
- $5.29
- Potential payout
- $6.03
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $7.4
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.45
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$3.2
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?Yes 99.7% 28.58 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes 32% 15.56 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 83.1% 5.03 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 83.9% 11 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 84% 5 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 11% 31.7 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 11% 43.85 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 11% 25.11 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 11% 32.7 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 11% 32.7 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 11% 32.91 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 11% 32.91 shares