No position
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $260.14
- Potential profit
- $260.14
- User PnL
- -$187.28
Polymarket Trader
timefun
0xc17185f4ecefb8ae622db7982ede2d089e0319ee
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $58.66
- Realized PnL
- $42.89
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $236.41
- Potential profit
- $236.41
- User PnL
- -$83.41
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $206.63
- Potential profit
- $206.63
- User PnL
- -$141.91
Y
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $58.66
- Potential payout
- $205.88
- Potential profit
- $147.23
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $23.66
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the US strike 2 countries in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.78
No position
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.8
No position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.81
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$85.34
No position
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$165.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 17% 205.88 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 68.7% 206.63 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?No 35.3% 236.41 shares
- Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes 38% 219.37 shares
- Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes 76.9% 219.37 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No 33.5% 206.47 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No 36.3% 206.48 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?No 19.7% 102.97 shares
- GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?No 10% 342 shares
- GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?No 58.5% 342.01 shares
- Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?No 72% 260.14 shares
- Will the US strike 2 countries in February 2026?No 52.8% 340.78 shares