Polymarket Trader

AdolfCrittler

0xc17aeee8598951752f6171a4496e54df847c5664

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $53.52
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will MrBeast's latest video get 22–24 million views on day 1?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $205.68
Potential profit: $205.68
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $8.49
Potential payout: $158.6
Potential profit: $150.11
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$3.51

Yes position

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $40.1
Potential payout: $108.38
Potential profit: $68.28
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$7.3

Yes position

Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.85
Potential profit: $92.85
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.5
Potential profit: $82.5
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.69
Potential profit: $69.69
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

No position

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.21
Potential profit: $58.21
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.66
Potential profit: $57.66
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.84
Potential profit: $41.84
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.82
Potential profit: $40.82
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.36
Potential profit: $36.36
User PnL: -$4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.33
Potential profit: $34.33
User PnL: -$8.92

Yes position

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $34.31
Potential profit: $33.32
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Nicki Minaj attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.7
Potential profit: $32.7
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $30.95
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$4.7

Yes position

Another US bank failure by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $28.99
Potential profit: $27.39
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$18.41

Yes position

Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $25.23
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

Yes 5% 60 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 60% 24.68 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 49% 40.82 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 62% 16.13 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 69% 14.49 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 69% 14.49 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 4.9% 210.52 shares
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

Yes 41.8% 59.81 shares
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Yes 76.8% 11.32 shares
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

Yes 10% 60 shares
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Yes 69% 28.99 shares
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Yes 45% 10.09 shares