OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $208.96
- Potential payout
- $653
- Potential profit
- $444.04
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$32.65
Polymarket Trader
NicholasRitter3834
0xc187533035d311f68361697addc5d6083e9cbdf1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $243.28
- Realized PnL
- $1.71K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.1%
- Current value
- $25.83
- Potential payout
- $43.7
- Potential profit
- $17.87
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $10.66
Yes position
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $6.49
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $4.51
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $6
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.84
No position
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $177.14
No position
Will ENA: Dream BBQ win Outstanding Visual Style at the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.92
No position
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.2
No position
Will Trump say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during Women's History Month event?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.47
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $86.39
Yes position
Amouranth divorced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- $72.44
No position
Will Smartless win Best Podcast at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.15
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 22?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.31
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Contestant" during his next YouTube video?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.62
Yes position
Will "Audit" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.18
Yes position
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.95
No position
Will coffeexcoin win the competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.64
Yes position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $40.75
Yes position
Will Trump post "Free Tina Peters" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.08
Yes position
Watford FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to Score
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.64
Yes position
Will Tyron Woodley win his boxing match against Anderson Silva?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.43
Yes position
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.16
No position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.5
Yes position
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- $25.28
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.91
Yes position
Will there be 2 knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.24
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $22.05
Yes position
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No 86% 101 shares
- Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No 86% 941 shares
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI 37% 653 shares
- Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No 69% 1,042 shares
- Will Trump say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during Women's History Month event?No 69% 337 shares
- Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris BasketballParis Basketball 59% 310 shares
- Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 7% 293 shares
- Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 22% 293 shares
- Will Adolescence win Best Producer of a TV Limited or Anthology Series at the 37th PGA Awards?Yes 99.8% 400 shares
- Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?No 61.2% 654 shares
- Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?No 79.1% 654 shares
- Epic Games IPO before 2027?No 84% 245 shares