Polymarket Trader

hm-d

0xc18ff4f9f58bea21cc6cff8d2afc22bf01a273eb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.99K
Realized PnL: -$1.51K
Win rate: 37.5%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113K
Potential profit: $113K
User PnL: -$113

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $492.49
Potential payout: $8.57K
Potential profit: $8.07K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$192.34

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $446.49
Potential payout: $6.98K
Potential profit: $6.53K
Multiplier: 15.63x
User PnL: -$60.33

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $102.09
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $1.92K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $21.23

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 89.8%
Current value: $1.29K
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $147.38
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$9.34

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $147.89
Potential payout: $644.4
Potential profit: $496.51
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $44.14

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.81
Potential payout: $518.32
Potential profit: $516.5
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.85

No position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $490.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $9.75
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $5.35

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $408
Potential profit: $408
User PnL: -$63.14

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $326.87
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $108.74
Potential profit: $107.27
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $1.78
Potential payout: $67.34
Potential profit: $65.55
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $3.89
Potential payout: $19.03
Potential profit: $15.14
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $18
User PnL: -$10.34

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $10.73
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $9.31
Potential payout: $9.88
Potential profit: $0.57
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: $159.66

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $129.9

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.26

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $25.25

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $22.01

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.33

No position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.48

No position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.98

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $4.87

Yes position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$6.67

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.86

No position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$10.56

No position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$10.67

No position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$10.74

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.92

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 77.1%
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$20.22

No position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$22.16

No position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$40.41

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$48.26

No position

Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$75

No position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$105.69

No position

Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$1.56K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.5% 19.03 shares
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.6% 68.03 shares
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.6% 240 shares
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.6% 380 shares
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.6% 240 shares
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.6% 220 shares
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.6% 240 shares
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.6% 220 shares
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.6% 100 shares
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.6% 240 shares
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.6% 240 shares
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.6% 220 shares