Yes position
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Polymarket Trader
0xc19e...261d
0xc19e3f3eb111793c0842e957b78549e6af16261d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $295.18
- Realized PnL
- $573.24
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $10.27
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.4%
- Current value
- $64.28
- Potential payout
- $621.04
- Potential profit
- $556.76
- Multiplier
- 9.66x
- User PnL
- $37.14
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $18.84
- Potential payout
- $465.14
- Potential profit
- $446.3
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$19.77
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $19.19
- Potential payout
- $431.28
- Potential profit
- $412.09
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $4.62
- Potential payout
- $151.51
- Potential profit
- $146.89
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $1.83
- Potential payout
- $126
- Potential profit
- $124.17
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.57
- Potential payout
- $59.9
- Potential profit
- $59.33
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$30.86
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $44.99
- Potential payout
- $53.24
- Potential profit
- $8.25
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $27.74
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $36.2
- Potential payout
- $48.59
- Potential profit
- $12.39
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $6.24
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $3.12
- Potential payout
- $41.64
- Potential profit
- $38.52
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.87
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $10.35
- Potential payout
- $40.6
- Potential profit
- $30.25
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$4.13
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $17.57
- Potential payout
- $33.47
- Potential profit
- $15.9
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.18
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.6%
- Current value
- $5.29
- Potential payout
- $30.12
- Potential profit
- $24.83
- Multiplier
- 5.70x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $11.88
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $13.13
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $1.88
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $11.87
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $1.87
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $10.39
- Potential payout
- $11.87
- Potential profit
- $1.48
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.31
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $11.13
- Potential payout
- $11.16
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $2.24
- Potential payout
- $7.85
- Potential profit
- $5.61
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.88
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.9%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.06
- Multiplier
- 5.31x
- User PnL
- -$4.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $337.87
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.61
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.71
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.36
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.02
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.11
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.83
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.05
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.09
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.66
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.86
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.86
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.78
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 2,500 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.5% 629.82 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.6% 89.28 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 4.5% 55.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 6% 55.33 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.1% 67.56 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.4% 1,088.46 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.4% 67.56 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 16.4% 30.12 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 40% 12.5 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 25% 4 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 26% 3.85 shares