Polymarket Trader

markdicebets

0xc1aeb668d943d7bcd15f64b36feb907c004985aa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.15K
Realized PnL: $298.11
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $146.32
Potential payout: $5.23K
Potential profit: $5.08K
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$259.2

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $35.23
Potential payout: $3.52K
Potential profit: $3.49K
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$145.74

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $75
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $925
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$33

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 25.4%
Current value: $251.36
Potential payout: $991.54
Potential profit: $740.18
Multiplier: 3.94x
User PnL: -$5.74

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $155.62
Potential payout: $798.07
Potential profit: $642.45
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$27.93

Up position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $431.17
Potential payout: $567.33
Potential profit: $136.16
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$50.14

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $450
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $11.9

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $5.16
Potential payout: $6.41
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $183.44

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $93.08

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.66

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 1.8% 1,534.65 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

No 88.9% 100.99 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

No 64.2% 5 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Up 86% 152.69 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 29.4% 335 shares
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

Yes 23% 747.89 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 23.8% 420.85 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 10.8% 462.33 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Up 85% 58.82 shares
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?

Yes 5.7% 522.22 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Up 84.3% 355.82 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

No 57.4% 261.19 shares