Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
minchia
0xc1c99aee93070134ed9e0f8dd36510f7b8ebe5d7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.76
- Realized PnL
- $161.5
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $2.8K
- User PnL
- -$44.8
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.55K
- Potential profit
- $2.55K
- User PnL
- -$28
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$43
Yes position
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $476.98
- Potential profit
- $476.98
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $302.64
- Potential profit
- $302.34
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.54
Yes position
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$19.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $140
- User PnL
- -$2.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $136.1
- Potential profit
- $136.1
- User PnL
- -$10.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112
- Potential profit
- $112
- User PnL
- -$8.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.56
- Potential profit
- $79.56
- User PnL
- -$45.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $74.25
- Potential profit
- $74.18
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $2.13
- Potential payout
- $52.05
- Potential profit
- $49.92
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $44.75
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$20.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.64
- Potential profit
- $24.64
- User PnL
- -$9.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$6.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$9.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.03
- Potential profit
- $15.03
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $25.67
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.04
9z position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.05
Monte position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.45
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.15
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.44
PARIVISION position
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $3.5
Aurora Gaming position
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Aurora Gaming position
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.71
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?Yes 83.1% 40.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 30?Yes 5% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 30?Yes 43.7% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 30?Yes 7.8% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 30?Yes 7% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?Yes 24% 19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 1?Yes 13% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 1?Yes 1.2% 5.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 1?Yes 1.1% 47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 30?Yes 5% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 30?Yes 1% 200 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 30?Yes 0.9% 24 shares