Polymarket Trader

ct1989

0xc1cec52b4c42cf8bb92a74c890054fe4a7182e83

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $257.2
Realized PnL: $516.63
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $41.38
Potential payout: $411.76
Potential profit: $370.38
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$28.62

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $7.17
Potential payout: $227.72
Potential profit: $220.55
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$12.83

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210.53
Potential profit: $210.53
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $23.96
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $184.38
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$1.04

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.84
Potential profit: $130.84
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.65
Potential profit: $124.65
User PnL: -$51

Yes position

Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.83
Potential profit: $119.83
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $65.76
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $42.93
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $15.76

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 10, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $21.07
Potential payout: $93.65
Potential profit: $72.58
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$8.93

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $20.66
Potential payout: $78.13
Potential profit: $57.46
Multiplier: 3.78x
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.16
Potential profit: $60.16
User PnL: -$38.5

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $22.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $27.25
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $10.23
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $35.23
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$9.77

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $18.09
Potential payout: $42.55
Potential profit: $24.47
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.26
Potential profit: $31.26
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $24.85
Potential payout: $30.86
Potential profit: $6.02
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.02
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: -$4.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.65
Potential profit: $22.65
User PnL: -$19.94

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.3

Yes position

Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-16?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.34

Gold position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.56

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.52

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.66

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.15

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.33

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.47

Seahawks position

Rams vs. Seahawks

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.07

Yes position

Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.23

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.48

Yes position

Will Russia join the Board of Peace?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.01

Yes position

Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.95

Seahawks position

Rams vs. Seahawks

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.71

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.43

Yes position

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.19

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.7%
Multiplier: 2.81x
User PnL: $8.62

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

No position

Will Russia join the Board of Peace?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 22% 45.45 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 46% 50 shares
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 41% 24.39 shares
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 42% 23.81 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 77% 35.06 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 81% 30.86 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 73% 10.96 shares
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Yes 12% 208.33 shares
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

Switzerland 61% 16.39 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 205.88 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 205.88 shares